Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.002328 0.002466 0.002612 0.002781 0.002970 0.003178 0.003424
2025-02-02 0.002123 0.002314 0.002529 0.002791 0.003108 0.003483 0.003974
2025-02-09 0.002017 0.002248 0.002518 0.002865 0.003310 0.003880 0.004696
2025-02-16 0.001911 0.002163 0.002468 0.002875 0.003423 0.004169 0.005335
2025-02-23 0.001862 0.002140 0.002486 0.002966 0.003647 0.004638 0.006354
2025-03-02 0.001770 0.002054 0.002415 0.002927 0.003678 0.004827 0.006976
2025-03-09 0.001680 0.001963 0.002328 0.002856 0.003651 0.004915 0.007440
2025-03-16 0.001647 0.001943 0.002332 0.002911 0.003817 0.005347 0.008746
2025-03-23 0.001613 0.001920 0.002330 0.002955 0.003969 0.005786 0.010313
2025-03-30 0.001560 0.001866 0.002280 0.002923 0.003992 0.005984 0.011402
2025-04-06 0.001495 0.001794 0.002202 0.002840 0.003917 0.005975 0.011894
2025-04-13 0.001453 0.001751 0.002162 0.002814 0.003937 0.006167 0.013180
2025-04-20 0.001367 0.001647 0.002033 0.002645 0.003699 0.005788 0.012337
2025-04-27 0.001339 0.001624 0.002022 0.002663 0.003803 0.006189 0.014827
2025-05-04 0.001328 0.001624 0.002042 0.002734 0.004014 0.006907 0.020130
2025-05-11 0.001302 0.001600 0.002026 0.002744 0.004109 0.007375 0.025729
2025-05-18 0.001296 0.001604 0.002053 0.002827 0.004367 0.008402 0.043384
2025-05-25 0.001262 0.001567 0.002013 0.002791 0.004365 0.008657 0.056259
2025-06-01 0.001223 0.001521 0.001959 0.002726 0.004293 0.008662 0.065783
2025-06-08 0.001213 0.001517 0.001969 0.002776 0.004486 0.009675 0.192203
2025-06-15 0.001201 0.001509 0.001973 0.002817 0.004664 0.010767 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001175 0.001480 0.001942 0.002788 0.004669 0.011157 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001141 0.001438 0.001887 0.002711 0.004550 0.010932 NaN